Smart money holds the underdog side

Most tracked traders hold Pistons, while the market favors 76ers (52%). 3 of 5 traders hold an outcome priced under 50%.

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

3 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Pistons (60%) · $15K held · ended Oct 25

76ers48¢76ers52¢Ended Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

🔄

Contrarian

Pistons

Consensus Traders

Pistons 60%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$14.8K

Combined PnL

$8.35

Smart Money Signal

Pistons

3 of 5 top traders (60%)Underdog side (market favors 76ers 52%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

76ers48%

76ers52%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Pistons3 traders

Total Value$340.53

Total Shares667

Combined PnL+$2.71

76ers2 traders

Total Value$77.56

Total Shares145

Combined PnL+$5.64

Pistons — 60%76ers — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO HomeRunHazardARB<$100	Pistonsavg 49¢	$12.4K	$9.8K	$-2.5K	55% 12568-10337 (22905)
└ Pistons leg	Pistonsavg 49¢	$6.3K	$5.2K	$-1.1K
└ 76ers leg	76ersavg 53.3¢	$6.1K	$4.6K	$-1.5K
TA takeormakeARB<$100	76ersavg 59¢	$3.6K	$3.2K	-$434.4	55% 3104-2515 (5619)
└ 76ers leg	76ersavg 59¢	$2.1K	$1.6K	-$475.67
└ Pistons leg	Pistonsavg 44.3¢	$1.5K	$1.6K	+$41.27
AN Anon455ARB<$100	76ersavg 63.2¢	$1.9K	$1.3K	-$629.79	56% 2130-1695 (3825)
└ 76ers leg	76ersavg 63.2¢	$1.6K	$1.0K	-$587.09
└ Pistons leg	Pistonsavg 47.1¢	$306.34	$263.64	-$42.7
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	Pistonsavg 49.2¢	$313.37	$313.36	-$0.01	46% 328-382 (710)
HRTrading<$100	76ersavg 43.5¢	$65.83	$71.82	+$5.99	56% 1895-1497 (3392)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100	Pistonsavg 28.5¢	$22	$25.1	+$3.1	62% 23778-14304 (38082)
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100	76ersavg 73¢	$6.09	$5.74	-$0.35	55% 15069-12329 (27398)
RL RLWG<$100	Pistonsavg 49¢	$2.45	$2.07	-$0.38	51% 4438-4219 (8657)

HomeRunHazardARB<$100

Pistons

Invested

$12,381.7

Value

$9.8K

PnL

$-2.5K

Record

55%

12568-10337 (22905)

Both legs:

Pistons$6,331.5549¢$-1.1K

76ers$6,050.1553.3¢$-1.5K

takeormakeARB<$100

76ers

Invested

$3,629.05

Value

$3.2K

PnL

-$434.4

Record

55%

3104-2515 (5619)

Both legs:

76ers$2,082.3759¢-$475.67

Pistons$1,546.6844.3¢+$41.27

Anon455ARB<$100

76ers

Invested

$1,942.16

Value

$1.3K

PnL

-$629.79

Record

56%

2130-1695 (3825)

Both legs:

76ers$1,635.8263.2¢-$587.09

Pistons$306.3447.1¢-$42.7

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Pistons

Invested

$313.37

Value

$313.36

PnL

-$0.01

Record

46%

328-382 (710)

HRTrading<$100

76ers

Invested

$65.83

Value

$71.82

PnL

+$5.99

Record

56%

1895-1497 (3392)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100

Pistons

Invested

$22

Value

$25.1

PnL

+$3.1

Record

62%

23778-14304 (38082)

LeLynxMalynx<$100

76ers

Invested

$6.09

Value

$5.74

PnL

-$0.35

Record

55%

15069-12329 (27398)

RLWG<$100

Pistons

Invested

$2.45

Value

$2.07

PnL

-$0.38

Record

51%

4438-4219 (8657)

Smart Money Signal

Pistons

3 of 5 top traders (60%)Underdog side (market favors 76ers 52%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that 76ers wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance50.2%

48.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$99.01

Max Loss

-$100.00

199.0

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.