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RN1ARB<$100OverUnderUnder
poshposhCTR<$100OverUnderOver
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Under 67%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$344.99
Combined PnL
$23.09
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$148.5
Total Shares149
Combined PnL+$24.71
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares20
Combined PnL-$1.62
Under — 60%Over — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1ARB<$100 | Overavg 56.8¢ | $337.88 | $196.49 | -$141.39 | 54% 49727-41784 (91511) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 56.8¢ | $248.62 | — | -$248.62 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 45.4¢ | $89.26 | $196.49 | +$107.24 | |
LU LuckyLoo | Underavg 84¢ | $101.59 | $118.5 | +$16.91 | 50% 8166-8189 (16355) |
0X 0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191<$100 | Underavg 74¢ | $22.2 | $30 | +$7.8 | 48% 4132-4551 (8683) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Overavg 8¢ | $1.62 | — | -$1.62 | — |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Underavg 68.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 39128-25536 (64664) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Overavg 14¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 9263-9199 (18462) |
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$337.88
Value
$196.49
PnL
-$141.39
Record
54%
49727-41784 (91511)
Both legs:
Over$248.6256.8¢-$248.62
Under$89.2645.4¢+$107.24
LU
LuckyLooInvested
$101.59
Value
$118.5
PnL
+$16.91
Record
50%
8166-8189 (16355)
0X
0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191<$100Invested
$22.2
Value
$30
PnL
+$7.8
Record
48%
4132-4551 (8683)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$1.62
Value
—
PnL
-$1.62
Record
—
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
39128-25536 (64664)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
9263-9199 (18462)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1daf752b...2d46ba
Slug
mex-tij-san-2026-10-25-first-half-total-2pt5