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Yes
balthazar<$100NoNo
Istaroth<$100NoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 26?
Resolved No. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$8.96
Smart Money Signal
Yes
1 of 5 top traders (20%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares20
Combined PnL-$8.96
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 20%No — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HE HellYeahTraderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 47¢ | $9.4 | — | -$8.96 | 56% 171-137 (308) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 69.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 18200-10969 (29169) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 55¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 5561-4835 (10396) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 58.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 269-355 (624) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Noavg 81¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13957-24692 (38649) |
HE
HellYeahTraderCTR<$100Invested
$9.4
Value
—
PnL
-$8.96
Record
56%
171-137 (308)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
18200-10969 (29169)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
5561-4835 (10396)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
269-355 (624)
AJ
AJSV<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13957-24692 (38649)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x26491b97...0c4a34
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-seoul-on-october-26-2026-15c