Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Palermo FC vs. Carrarese Calcio: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Under 50%
1 arb excluded
$11.5K
$5.7K
Smart Money Signal
3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() RN1 | Underavg 67.6Β’ | $5.8K | $11.5K | +$5.7K | 55% 43817-36057 (79874) |
FO fooooolARB<$100 | Overavg 18Β’ | $112.84 | $61.95 | -$50.88 | 51% 6631-6378 (13009) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 18Β’ | $66.06 | β | -$66.06 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 75.5Β’ | $46.77 | $61.95 | +$15.18 | |
![]() HRTradingCTR<$100 | Overavg 13Β’ | $2.73 | β | -$2.73 | 57% 1578-1171 (2749) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Overavg 35Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 67% 31285-15084 (46369) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Underavg 68Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 13975-9717 (23692) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 15.6Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 52% 16365-14925 (31290) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Underavg 87Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 8893-8828 (17721) |
RN1Invested
$5,810.35
Value
$11.5K
PnL
+$5.7K
Record
55%
43817-36057 (79874)
Invested
$112.84
Value
$61.95
PnL
-$50.88
Record
51%
6631-6378 (13009)
Both legs:
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$2.73
Value
β
PnL
-$2.73
Record
57%
1578-1171 (2749)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
67%
31285-15084 (46369)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
13975-9717 (23692)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16365-14925 (31290)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
8893-8828 (17721)
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