W75 Saguenay: Reese Brantmeier vs Yuki Naito

6 of 7 top Polymarket traders hold Reese Brantmeier (86%) · Reese Brantmeier at 100¢ · $6K held · ends Nov 1

Reese Brantmeier>99¢Yuki Naito<1¢Ends Sun, Nov 1, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Reese Brantmeier

Consensus Traders

Reese Brantmeier 86%

Total Value

$6.0K

Combined PnL

$281.33

Smart Money Entry

82.8¢ → 100¢

+21% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralReese Brantmeier at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Reese Brantmeier

6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Reese Brantmeier100%

Yuki Naito0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Reese Brantmeier6 traders

Total Value$5.9K

Total Shares6,737

Combined PnL+$295.43

Yuki Naito1 trader

Total Value$108

Total Shares540

Combined PnL-$14.1

Reese Brantmeier — 86%Yuki Naito — 14%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HV HVAB	Reese Brantmeieravg 82.9¢	$5.0K	$5.3K	+$306.09	76% 495-155 (650)
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554	Reese Brantmeieravg 82¢	$310.79	$303.21	-$7.58	53% 2392-2133 (4525)
TH thestingsnake	Reese Brantmeieravg 82.8¢	$214.47	$209.89	-$3.94	60% 3540-2405 (5945)
GH ghostorderCTR	Yuki Naitoavg 22.6¢	$122.1	$108	-$14.1	68% 3945-1883 (5828)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Reese Brantmeieravg 78¢	$55.21	$56.62	+$1.41	59% 13975-9717 (23692)
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100	Reese Brantmeieravg 90¢	$9	$8.9	-$0.1	95% 14059-804 (14863)
US User7429<$100	Reese Brantmeieravg 85¢	$7.65	$7.2	-$0.45	57% 5976-4437 (10413)

HVAB

Reese Brantmeier

Invested

$4,995.1

Value

$5.3K

PnL

+$306.09

Record

76%

495-155 (650)

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554

Reese Brantmeier

Invested

$310.79

Value

$303.21

PnL

-$7.58

Record

53%

2392-2133 (4525)

thestingsnake

Reese Brantmeier

Invested

$214.47

Value

$209.89

PnL

-$3.94

Record

60%

3540-2405 (5945)

ghostorderCTR

Yuki Naito

Invested

$122.1

Value

$108

PnL

-$14.1

Record

68%

3945-1883 (5828)

omnibus-076daa<$100

Reese Brantmeier

Invested

$55.21

Value

$56.62

PnL

+$1.41

Record

59%

13975-9717 (23692)

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100

Reese Brantmeier

Invested

Value

$8.9

PnL

-$0.1

Record

95%

14059-804 (14863)

User7429<$100

Reese Brantmeier

Invested

$7.65

Value

$7.2

PnL

-$0.45

Record

57%

5976-4437 (10413)

Research grade

NeutralReese Brantmeier at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Reese Brantmeier

6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Reese Brantmeier wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.