Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
NK Istra 1961 vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 4.5
Resolved Under. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Over 100%
$0
-$989.66
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 19.9¢ | $13.77 | — | -$13.77 | 49% 11291-11571 (22862) |
0X 0x8191c793fd7edbadf0fae651f55c1da3b638da72CTR | Overavg 23¢ | $974.65 | — | -$974.65 | 72% 2158-825 (2983) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 25¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 54% 54083-45963 (100046) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Overavg 10.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 43129-29562 (72691) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Overavg 45¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 18089-18501 (36590) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Underavg 89¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 23388-23002 (46390) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Overavg 20¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 31550-31196 (62746) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Overavg 23.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 2195-1816 (4011) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Underavg 80¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 39436-28511 (67947) |
Invested
$13.77
Value
—
PnL
-$13.77
Record
49%
11291-11571 (22862)
Invested
$974.65
Value
—
PnL
-$974.65
Record
72%
2158-825 (2983)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
54%
54083-45963 (100046)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
43129-29562 (72691)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
18089-18501 (36590)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
23388-23002 (46390)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
31550-31196 (62746)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
2195-1816 (4011)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
39436-28511 (67947)
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