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RN1CTR<$100NoNo
poshposhCTR<$100NoYesNo
tradecraftCTR<$100No
HRTradingCTR<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will NK Istra 1961 vs. HNK Hajduk Split end in a draw?
Resolved Yes. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$28.51
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares122
Combined PnL-$28.51
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 86%Yes — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1CTR<$100 | Noavg 20.9¢ | $16.73 | — | -$16.73 | 54% 54083-45963 (100046) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Noavg 17¢ | $5.29 | — | -$5.29 | 49% 11291-11571 (22862) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Noavg 61.3¢ | $6.41 | — | -$6.49 | 61% 8719-5662 (14381) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Yesavg 80.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 43129-29562 (72691) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Noavg 35.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 23388-23002 (46390) |
tradecraftCTR<$100 | Noavg 28.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 5773-5386 (11159) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Noavg 91¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 2195-1816 (4011) |
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$16.73
Value
—
PnL
-$16.73
Record
54%
54083-45963 (100046)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$5.29
Value
—
PnL
-$5.29
Record
49%
11291-11571 (22862)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$6.41
Value
—
PnL
-$6.49
Record
61%
8719-5662 (14381)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
43129-29562 (72691)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
23388-23002 (46390)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
5773-5386 (11159)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
2195-1816 (4011)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x948800b8...c41aa2
Slug
hr1-ist-haj-2026-10-26-draw