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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 25?
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 67%
Total Value
$0.44
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4994f110...057191
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-october-25-2026-18c