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Yes
balthazarCTR<$100NoYesYesNo
Istaroth<$100YesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 25?
Resolved Yes. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$8.8
Combined PnL
$358.48
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$8.8
Total Shares9
Combined PnL+$358.48
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 57%No — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98 | Yesavg 35¢ | $192.96 | $8.8 | +$358.48 | 48% 505-558 (1063) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 26.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Yesavg 33¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1583-1568 (3151) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Yesavg 64.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 4556-3891 (8447) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 62¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 10604-8367 (18971) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 49.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Noavg 43.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Invested
$192.96
Value
$8.8
PnL
+$358.48
Record
48%
505-558 (1063)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1583-1568 (3151)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
4556-3891 (8447)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
10604-8367 (18971)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x370357da...00fbf9
Slug
highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-october-25-2026-18c