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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 7?
Resolved Yes. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
No 90%
Total Value
$261.83
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
9 of 10 top traders (90%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe31f369d...e2ea82
Slug
highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-october-7-2026-25c