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Yes
balthazar<$100NoNoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 26?
Resolved No. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$1.35
Smart Money Signal
Yes
1 of 5 top traders (20%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares15
Combined PnL-$1.35
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 20%No — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HE HellYeahTraderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 56% 171-137 (308) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 97.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 18410-11080 (29490) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 88.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 5695-4971 (10666) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 92.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12146-9242 (21388) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Noavg 96¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13969-24716 (38685) |
HE
HellYeahTraderCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
56%
171-137 (308)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
18410-11080 (29490)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
5695-4971 (10666)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12146-9242 (21388)
AJ
AJSV<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13969-24716 (38685)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x62968648...fb13fa
Slug
highest-temperature-in-singapore-on-october-26-2026-29c