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Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 25?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Oct 25
SIGNAL
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Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes26%
No75%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance27.5%
25.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$263.98
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
364.0
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x2e8f3c35...58aa6b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-october-25-2026-23c