Back to Markets
No
balthazarCTR<$100YesYesNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 25?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 67%
Total Value
$131.32
Combined PnL
$173.72
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$131.32
Total Shares131
Combined PnL+$40.85
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares152
Combined PnL+$132.88
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658 | Noavg 68.9¢ | $90.47 | $131.32 | +$40.85 | 47% 67-77 (144) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3¢ | $4.18 | — | -$4.18 | 63% 16296-9616 (25912) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.9¢ | $5.01 | — | +$137.06 | 54% 4556-3891 (8447) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 94.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 10604-8367 (18971) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Noavg 94¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 4923-4529 (9452) |
0X
0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658Invested
$90.47
Value
$131.32
PnL
+$40.85
Record
47%
67-77 (144)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$4.18
Value
—
PnL
-$4.18
Record
63%
16296-9616 (25912)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
$5.01
Value
—
PnL
+$137.06
Record
54%
4556-3891 (8447)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
10604-8367 (18971)
RL
RLWG<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4923-4529 (9452)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x6f31f1bd...ae54c1
Slug
highest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-october-25-2026-72-73f