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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 25?

Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Yes 50%

Total Value

$1.0K

Combined PnL

$913.52

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes4 traders

Total Value$1.0K

Total Shares1,027

Combined PnL+$1.0K

No4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares260

Combined PnL-$135.4

Yes — 50%No — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0	Yesavg 30.7¢	$373.04	$786.91	+$840.17	52% 538-490 (1028)
balthazar	Yesavg 13¢	$31.23	$239.99	+$208.76	63% 16296-9616 (25912)
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR	Noavg 41.5¢	$114.44	—	-$13.9	54% 4556-3891 (8447)
0X 0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658CTR	Noavg 70.5¢	$121.5	—	-$121.5	47% 67-77 (144)
12 123987456CTR<$100	Noavg 10¢	—	—	+$0	46% 1624-1897 (3521)
HE hello.67CTR<$100	Noavg 63.5¢	—	—	+$0	50% 1583-1568 (3151)
GH ghorrock<$100	Yesavg 35¢	—	—	+$0	56% 10604-8367 (18971)
Istaroth<$100	Yesavg 39¢	—	—	+$0	49% 269-276 (545)

0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0

Invested

$373.04

Value

$786.91

PnL

+$840.17

Record

52%

538-490 (1028)

Invested

$31.23

Value

$239.99

PnL

+$208.76

Record

63%

16296-9616 (25912)

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR

Invested

$114.44

Value

—

PnL

-$13.9

Record

54%

4556-3891 (8447)

0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658CTR

Invested

$121.5

Value

—

PnL

-$121.5

Record

47%

67-77 (144)

123987456CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

1624-1897 (3521)

hello.67CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

1583-1568 (3151)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

10604-8367 (18971)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

269-276 (545)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2a09a2e8...fabb8f

Slug

highest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-october-25-2026-70-71f

Traders in this Market

0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0

Yes — $786.91

balthazar

Yes — $239.99

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

No — $0

0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658

No — $0

123987456

No — $0

hello.67

No — $0

ghorrock

Yes — $0

Istaroth

Yes — $0

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