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YesNoNoYesNoNo Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 24?
Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$51.63
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares117
Combined PnL-$51.63
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 33%No — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HE HellYeahTraderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 19.7¢ | $23.05 | — | -$51.63 | 55% 105-85 (190) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 79.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3178-2517 (5695) |
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98<$100 | Noavg 75.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 48% 481-527 (1008) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 15.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 6460-3412 (9872) |
0X 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060<$100 | Noavg 79¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4147-2191 (6338) |
HI HighTempTation<$100 | Noavg 94.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 100% 363-0 (363) |
HE
HellYeahTraderCTR<$100Invested
$23.05
Value
—
PnL
-$51.63
Record
55%
105-85 (190)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3178-2517 (5695)
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
481-527 (1008)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
6460-3412 (9872)
0X
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4147-2191 (6338)
HI
HighTempTation<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
100%
363-0 (363)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x83f5e391...eb4b39
Slug
highest-temperature-in-panama-city-on-october-24-2026-30c