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YesNo
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoNoYes
IstarothCTR<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 25?
Resolved Yes. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 50%
Total Value
$669.99
Combined PnL
$359.03
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 7 top traders (29%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$669.99
Total Shares670
Combined PnL+$347.95
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares42
Combined PnL+$11.08
Yes — 29%No — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98 | Yesavg 53.1¢ | $394.03 | $669.99 | +$347.95 | 48% 505-558 (1063) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Noavg 31.1¢ | $65.39 | — | +$11.08 | 54% 4556-3891 (8447) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 10.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Noavg 45.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1583-1568 (3151) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 42.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 10604-8367 (18971) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Yesavg 63.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 151-124 (275) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 38.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Invested
$394.03
Value
$669.99
PnL
+$347.95
Record
48%
505-558 (1063)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
$65.39
Value
—
PnL
+$11.08
Record
54%
4556-3891 (8447)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1583-1568 (3151)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
10604-8367 (18971)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
151-124 (275)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd25e52f7...849bec
Slug
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-october-25-2026-66-67f