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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?
Resolved Yes. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
No 38%
Total Value
$182.76
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 8 top traders (38%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x30e27a1d...7a7017
Slug
highest-temperature-in-milan-on-october-26-2026-15c