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Yes
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoYes
IstarothCTR<$100NoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 25?
Resolved Yes. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$11.82
Combined PnL
$361.36
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 6 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$11.82
Total Shares12
Combined PnL+$361.36
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 33%No — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98 | Yesavg 40.5¢ | $246.82 | $11.82 | +$361.36 | 48% 505-558 (1063) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 1.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Noavg 65.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 4556-3891 (8447) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Yesavg 24.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 10604-8367 (18971) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 62¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Noavg 87.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Invested
$246.82
Value
$11.82
PnL
+$361.36
Record
48%
505-558 (1063)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
4556-3891 (8447)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
10604-8367 (18971)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x49673b1e...418c26
Slug
highest-temperature-in-miami-on-october-25-2026-82-83f