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Yes
balthazar<$100NoNoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?
Resolved No. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$8.1
Smart Money Signal
Yes
1 of 5 top traders (20%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares15
Combined PnL-$8.1
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 20%No — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Yesavg 45.5¢ | $6.95 | — | -$8.1 | 56% 15449-12313 (27762) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 67.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 4556-3891 (8447) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 10604-8367 (18971) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Noavg 73.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$6.95
Value
—
PnL
-$8.1
Record
56%
15449-12313 (27762)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
4556-3891 (8447)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
10604-8367 (18971)
AJ
AJSV<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x08047930...2a7df5
Slug
highest-temperature-in-miami-on-october-25-2026-78-79f