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Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 26?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Oct 26
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes17%
No83%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance18.7%
17.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.7¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$433.67
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
533.7
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xf656955c...b9505b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-mexico-city-on-october-26-2026-22c