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NoYes
balthazar<$100NoNoNo
IstarothCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 25?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$3.4K
Combined PnL
$703.39
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$3.4K
Total Shares3,416
Combined PnL+$1.2K
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,034
Combined PnL-$530.94
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HE hello.67 | Noavg 63.9¢ | $2.2K | $3.4K | +$1.2K | 50% 1583-1568 (3151) |
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR | Yesavg 27.3¢ | $219.68 | — | -$530.94 | 48% 505-558 (1063) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 77¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 64¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 10604-8367 (18971) |
HI HighTempTation<$100 | Noavg 97.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 99% 598-1 (599) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 31.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
HE
hello.67Invested
$2,181.88
Value
$3.4K
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
50%
1583-1568 (3151)
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTRInvested
$219.68
Value
—
PnL
-$530.94
Record
48%
505-558 (1063)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
10604-8367 (18971)
HI
HighTempTation<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
99%
598-1 (599)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9c95a793...52bd41
Slug
highest-temperature-in-mexico-city-on-october-25-2026-19c