Back to Markets
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 27?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Oct 27
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes43%
No57%
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance45.2%
43.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$121.08
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
221.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xdbc5ef07...ea109b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-27-2026-34c