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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 25?
Resolved No. 14% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 14%
Total Value
$275.27
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
1 of 7 top traders (14%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb409e9db...b13d6f
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-25-2026-32c