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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 26?
Resolved No. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 86%
Total Value
$0.93
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 7 top traders (86%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdf0c4a18...019065
Slug
highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-october-26-2026-21c