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Yes
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoNo
IstarothCTR<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 25?
Resolved Yes. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$139.82
Combined PnL
$150.16
Smart Money Signal
Yes
1 of 5 top traders (20%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$139.82
Total Shares140
Combined PnL+$150.16
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 20%No — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98 | Yesavg 39.2¢ | $96.73 | $139.82 | +$150.16 | 48% 505-558 (1063) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Noavg 45¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1583-1568 (3151) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Noavg 46¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 4556-3891 (8447) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 24.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Invested
$96.73
Value
$139.82
PnL
+$150.16
Record
48%
505-558 (1063)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1583-1568 (3151)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
4556-3891 (8447)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1ef9f998...eb69ae
Slug
highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-october-25-2026-76-77f