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Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Oct 27
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$76.68
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes47%
No53%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 IstarothARB<$100 | Noavg 59.6¢ | $86.03 | $76.68 | -$4.42 | 49% 269-278 (547) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 59.6¢ | $48.32 | $43 | -$5.28 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 40.7¢ | $33.03 | $33.68 | +$0.86 |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance49.2%
47.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$103.05
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
203.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xdae1185d...8e2495
Slug
highest-temperature-in-jeddah-on-october-27-2026-37c