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NoYes
balthazarCTR<$100YesNoNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 24?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$741.04
Combined PnL
-$32.39
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$741.04
Total Shares741
Combined PnL-$1.85
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares149
Combined PnL-$30.54
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TP tphhh | Noavg 99.9¢ | $740.3 | $741.04 | -$1.85 | 91% 550-56 (606) |
HE HellYeahTraderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 20.8¢ | $31.06 | — | -$30.54 | 55% 105-85 (190) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 64% 11992-6689 (18681) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 79¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3178-2517 (5695) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 77.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 6460-3412 (9872) |
HI HighTempTation<$100 | Noavg 98¢ | — | — | +$0 | 100% 363-0 (363) |
TP
tphhhInvested
$740.3
Value
$741.04
PnL
-$1.85
Record
91%
550-56 (606)
HE
HellYeahTraderCTR<$100Invested
$31.06
Value
—
PnL
-$30.54
Record
55%
105-85 (190)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
11992-6689 (18681)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3178-2517 (5695)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
6460-3412 (9872)
HI
HighTempTation<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
100%
363-0 (363)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xee2ab5d6...bf5448
Slug
highest-temperature-in-denver-on-october-24-2026-56-57f