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Yes
balthazar<$100NoYesNoNoNo
Istaroth<$100NoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 25?
Resolved No. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$521.82
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 8 top traders (25%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares976
Combined PnL-$521.82
No6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 25%No — 75%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR | Yesavg 32.5¢ | $317.39 | — | -$521.82 | 48% 505-558 (1063) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 72.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 15568-9006 (24574) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 28.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1583-1568 (3151) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 65.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 4556-3891 (8447) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 69.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 10604-8367 (18971) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Noavg 75.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 151-124 (275) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 80.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13604-23855 (37459) |
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTRInvested
$317.39
Value
—
PnL
-$521.82
Record
48%
505-558 (1063)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
15568-9006 (24574)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1583-1568 (3151)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
4556-3891 (8447)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
10604-8367 (18971)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
151-124 (275)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
AJ
AJSV<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13604-23855 (37459)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbd31aec1...9bb604
Slug
highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-october-25-2026-78-79f