Back to Markets
YesYesYesNo
IstarothCTR<$100YesNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 26?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$149.27
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares614
Combined PnL-$149.27
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 67%No — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR | Yesavg 24.3¢ | $149.27 | — | -$149.27 | 46% 523-607 (1130) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 5561-4835 (10396) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 11904-9099 (21003) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Noavg 77¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 171-137 (308) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 20¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 269-355 (624) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Noavg 93.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 13957-24692 (38649) |
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTRInvested
$149.27
Value
—
PnL
-$149.27
Record
46%
523-607 (1130)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
5561-4835 (10396)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
11904-9099 (21003)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
171-137 (308)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
269-355 (624)
AJ
AJSV<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
13957-24692 (38649)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xd9d92905...20a60f
Slug
highest-temperature-in-busan-on-october-26-2026-23c