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YesNoNoYes
IstarothCTR<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 25?
Resolved Yes. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$935.67
Combined PnL
$663.28
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$935.67
Total Shares936
Combined PnL+$663.28
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 40%No — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98 | Yesavg 30.7¢ | $258.81 | $935.67 | +$663.28 | 48% 505-558 (1063) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Noavg 14¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 4556-3891 (8447) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 64.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 10604-8367 (18971) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Yesavg 37.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 151-124 (275) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 68.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Invested
$258.81
Value
$935.67
PnL
+$663.28
Record
48%
505-558 (1063)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
4556-3891 (8447)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
10604-8367 (18971)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
151-124 (275)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x78fd0fbe...496068
Slug
highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-october-25-2026-16c