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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 25?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 40%
Total Value
$281.33
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb2693b8d...44fdba
Slug
highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-october-25-2026-14c