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NoNoYesYesNo
IstarothCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 25?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$129.87
Combined PnL
$37.77
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$129.87
Total Shares130
Combined PnL+$37.77
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98 | Noavg 81.9¢ | $171.84 | $129.87 | +$37.77 | 48% 505-558 (1063) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Noavg 84¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1583-1568 (3151) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 15¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 4556-3891 (8447) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 14.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 10604-8367 (18971) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Noavg 81.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 151-124 (275) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 14¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 269-276 (545) |
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Invested
$171.84
Value
$129.87
PnL
+$37.77
Record
48%
505-558 (1063)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1583-1568 (3151)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
4556-3891 (8447)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
10604-8367 (18971)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
151-124 (275)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
269-276 (545)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x679aa3e9...3a3ca1
Slug
highest-temperature-in-austin-on-october-25-2026-84-85f