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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 25?
Resolved Yes. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
No 44%
Total Value
$612.79
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 9 top traders (44%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6bea1c25...004901
Slug
highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-october-25-2026-14c