Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET
Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
3
Down 100%
4 arb excluded
$2.2K
$14.22
Smart Money Signal
3 of 3 top traders (100%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Upavg 56.9¢ | $1.5K | $1.2K | -$264.5 | 87% 47232-6820 (54052) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 56.9¢ | $748.14 | — | -$748.14 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 60.5¢ | $740.3 | $1.2K | +$483.64 | |
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100 | Downavg 45.3¢ | $406.26 | $469.99 | +$63.73 | 58% 6149-4513 (10662) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 45.8¢ | $193.29 | — | -$193.29 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 45.3¢ | $212.97 | $469.99 | +$257.02 | |
![]() Polkadot-FrogARB<$100 | Upavg 36.7¢ | $137.22 | $200.14 | +$62.92 | 83% 27973-5740 (33713) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 36.7¢ | $74.76 | — | -$74.76 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 31.2¢ | $62.46 | $200.14 | +$137.68 | |
SH Sharky6999 | Downavg 99¢ | $183.66 | $185.52 | +$1.86 | 98% 5546-129 (5675) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 36.8¢ | $56.93 | $103.14 | +$46.21 | 52% 5670-5283 (10953) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 23.5¢ | $18.93 | — | -$18.93 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 36.8¢ | $38 | $103.14 | +$65.14 | |
AN Anon455<$100 | Downavg 73.1¢ | $33.62 | $45.99 | +$12.37 | 56% 2027-1581 (3608) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 46.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 71% 20519-8381 (28900) |
Invested
$1,488.44
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$264.5
Record
87%
47232-6820 (54052)
Both legs:
Invested
$406.26
Value
$469.99
PnL
+$63.73
Record
58%
6149-4513 (10662)
Both legs:
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100Invested
$137.22
Value
$200.14
PnL
+$62.92
Record
83%
27973-5740 (33713)
Both legs:
Invested
$183.66
Value
$185.52
PnL
+$1.86
Record
98%
5546-129 (5675)
Invested
$56.93
Value
$103.14
PnL
+$46.21
Record
52%
5670-5283 (10953)
Both legs:
Invested
$33.62
Value
$45.99
PnL
+$12.37
Record
56%
2027-1581 (3608)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
71%
20519-8381 (28900)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
peepeepoopoo24
ARBArbitrage — excluded

Polkadot-Frog
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Sharky6999
Down — $185.52
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Anon455
Down — $45.99
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $0