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Down
Polkadot-FrogDownDownDownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$767.56
Combined PnL
$93.62
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$767.56
Total Shares768
Combined PnL+$104.96
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares32
Combined PnL-$11.33
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 70.1¢ | $466.57 | $551.42 | +$78.2 | 88% 48470-6869 (55339) |
Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 85¢ | $140.72 | $125 | -$16.45 | 83% 28626-5825 (34451) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 48.4¢ | $29.62 | $61.18 | +$31.56 | 71% 20732-8473 (29205) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 57.6¢ | $18.3 | $29.96 | +$11.65 | 52% 5796-5413 (11209) |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100 | Upavg 35.7¢ | $11.33 | — | -$11.33 | 58% 6161-4530 (10691) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609Invested
$466.57
Value
$551.42
PnL
+$78.2
Record
88%
48470-6869 (55339)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$140.72
Value
$125
PnL
-$16.45
Record
83%
28626-5825 (34451)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100Invested
$29.62
Value
$61.18
PnL
+$31.56
Record
71%
20732-8473 (29205)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$18.3
Value
$29.96
PnL
+$11.65
Record
52%
5796-5413 (11209)
PE
peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100Invested
$11.33
Value
—
PnL
-$11.33
Record
58%
6161-4530 (10691)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x784ab89a...7687fa
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-2026-3pm-et