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Polkadot-FrogDownDownUpDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$189.4
Combined PnL
-$47.08
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$189.4
Total Shares189
Combined PnL+$3.84
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares250
Combined PnL-$50.92
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 92.1¢ | $105.42 | $106.23 | +$0.81 | 82% 25320-5636 (30956) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $50.32 | $42.49 | -$7.83 | 58% 6067-4456 (10523) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 20.3¢ | $50.92 | — | -$50.92 | 85% 39312-6718 (46030) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 50.4¢ | $17.63 | $32.84 | +$15.21 | 52% 5529-5134 (10663) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $11.06 | $7.84 | -$4.35 | 57% 35984-27141 (63125) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$105.42
Value
$106.23
PnL
+$0.81
Record
82%
25320-5636 (30956)
PE
peepeepoopoo24<$100Invested
$50.32
Value
$42.49
PnL
-$7.83
Record
58%
6067-4456 (10523)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$50.92
Value
—
PnL
-$50.92
Record
85%
39312-6718 (46030)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$17.63
Value
$32.84
PnL
+$15.21
Record
52%
5529-5134 (10663)
MO
mo-money<$100Invested
$11.06
Value
$7.84
PnL
-$4.35
Record
57%
35984-27141 (63125)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x665933b4...2734eb
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-october-25-2026-1am-et