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Down
pspspsps5CTR<$100Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$78.38
Combined PnL
-$24.66
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$78.38
Total Shares78
Combined PnL-$12.08
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares137
Combined PnL-$12.59
Down — 33%Up — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 87.1¢ | $76.31 | $65.38 | -$10.93 | 51% 6210-5891 (12101) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.83 | — | -$0.83 | 46% 37426-43665 (81091) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 55% 43094-35539 (78633) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $11.28 | — | -$11.28 | 56% 57212-44229 (101441) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $14.15 | $13 | -$1.15 | 52% 88160-82530 (170690) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $0.18 | — | -$0.18 | 59% 37055-26228 (63283) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$76.31
Value
$65.38
PnL
-$10.93
Record
51%
6210-5891 (12101)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.83
Value
—
PnL
-$0.83
Record
46%
37426-43665 (81091)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
55%
43094-35539 (78633)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$11.28
Value
—
PnL
-$11.28
Record
56%
57212-44229 (101441)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$14.15
Value
$13
PnL
-$1.15
Record
52%
88160-82530 (170690)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100Invested
$0.18
Value
—
PnL
-$0.18
Record
59%
37055-26228 (63283)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x66bb0d79...a1e1b6
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793063700