Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Up 75%
1 arb excluded
$338.9
-$4.6
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 40.9¢ | $89.25 | $166.39 | +$77.14 | 51% 6206-5881 (12087) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 12.8¢ | $21.2 | — | -$21.2 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 40.9¢ | $68.05 | $166.39 | +$98.33 | |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 77.2¢ | $116.62 | $119 | +$2.38 | 55% 43017-35460 (78477) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 37.3¢ | $16.35 | — | -$16.35 | 55% 16665-13373 (30038) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $9.2 | $10.45 | +$1.25 | 51% 19436-18664 (38100) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $10.03 | $12.21 | +$2.18 | 52% 88053-82440 (170493) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $6.05 | $11 | +$4.95 | 65% 121395-64704 (186099) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $5.94 | — | -$5.94 | 46% 37389-43600 (80989) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 45.5¢ | $4.87 | $10.7 | +$5.83 | 59% 37019-26207 (63226) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $8.05 | $9.15 | +$1.1 | 63% 49772-29482 (79254) |
Invested
$89.25
Value
$166.39
PnL
+$77.14
Record
51%
6206-5881 (12087)
Both legs:
MayorMamdaniInvested
$116.62
Value
$119
PnL
+$2.38
Record
55%
43017-35460 (78477)
Invested
$16.35
Value
—
PnL
-$16.35
Record
55%
16665-13373 (30038)
Invested
$9.2
Value
$10.45
PnL
+$1.25
Record
51%
19436-18664 (38100)
Invested
$10.03
Value
$12.21
PnL
+$2.18
Record
52%
88053-82440 (170493)
Invested
$6.05
Value
$11
PnL
+$4.95
Record
65%
121395-64704 (186099)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.94
Value
—
PnL
-$5.94
Record
46%
37389-43600 (80989)
Invested
$4.87
Value
$10.7
PnL
+$5.83
Record
59%
37019-26207 (63226)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$8.05
Value
$9.15
PnL
+$1.1
Record
63%
49772-29482 (79254)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
MayorMamdani
Up — $119
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRDown — $0
devonpoll
Up — $10.45
dvasdkasodk
Up — $12.21
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $11
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $10.7
UpandDownSyndrome
Up — $9.15