Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 73%
$349.11
-$75.72
Smart Money Signal
11 of 15 top traders (73%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 93.3¢ | $144.11 | $105.94 | -$38.16 | 51% 6180-5859 (12039) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $63.04 | $50 | -$13.04 | 64% 39379-22457 (61836) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 74.7¢ | $35.6 | $47.68 | +$12.08 | 65% 20166-10990 (31156) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 48.4¢ | $17.35 | $19.62 | +$2.27 | 49% 76564-79653 (156217) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 82.9¢ | $32.76 | $28.2 | -$4.56 | 55% 16647-13358 (30005) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 73.7¢ | $23.6 | $23 | -$0.6 | 55% 42983-35443 (78426) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $19.6 | $20 | +$0.4 | 93% 21872-1696 (23568) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $13.94 | — | -$13.94 | 66% 110197-56555 (166752) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 49.1¢ | $17.56 | — | -$17.56 | 56% 57139-44178 (101317) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 94.5¢ | $16.72 | $17.7 | +$0.98 | 63% 49745-29472 (79217) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $11.2 | — | -$11.2 | 59% 36998-26188 (63186) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 70.5¢ | $14.08 | $19.97 | +$5.89 | 58% 59607-43493 (103100) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $6.72 | $12 | +$5.28 | 66% 97589-50155 (147744) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $4.6 | — | -$4.6 | 51% 19428-18654 (38082) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $3.95 | $5 | +$1.05 | 65% 121312-64687 (185999) |
Invested
$144.11
Value
$105.94
PnL
-$38.16
Record
51%
6180-5859 (12039)
ohioism<$100Invested
$63.04
Value
$50
PnL
-$13.04
Record
64%
39379-22457 (61836)
Invested
$35.6
Value
$47.68
PnL
+$12.08
Record
65%
20166-10990 (31156)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$17.35
Value
$19.62
PnL
+$2.27
Record
49%
76564-79653 (156217)
Invested
$32.76
Value
$28.2
PnL
-$4.56
Record
55%
16647-13358 (30005)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$23.6
Value
$23
PnL
-$0.6
Record
55%
42983-35443 (78426)
Invested
$19.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.4
Record
93%
21872-1696 (23568)
Invested
$13.94
Value
—
PnL
-$13.94
Record
66%
110197-56555 (166752)
Invested
$17.56
Value
—
PnL
-$17.56
Record
56%
57139-44178 (101317)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$16.72
Value
$17.7
PnL
+$0.98
Record
63%
49745-29472 (79217)
Invested
$11.2
Value
—
PnL
-$11.2
Record
59%
36998-26188 (63186)
Invested
$14.08
Value
$19.97
PnL
+$5.89
Record
58%
59607-43493 (103100)
Invested
$6.72
Value
$12
PnL
+$5.28
Record
66%
97589-50155 (147744)
Invested
$4.6
Value
—
PnL
-$4.6
Record
51%
19428-18654 (38082)
Invested
$3.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.05
Record
65%
121312-64687 (185999)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $105.94
ohioism
Down — $50
aaa221
Down — $47.68
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $19.62
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $28.2
MayorMamdani
Down — $23
hoodquant
Down — $20
antsaslyku
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $17.7