Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Up 55%
1 arb excluded
$365.03
-$36.82
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $239.32 | $241.74 | +$2.42 | 74% 100933-36124 (137057) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $43.86 | $44.78 | +$0.92 | 51% 6180-5859 (12039) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 13.9¢ | $21.47 | — | -$21.47 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $22.39 | $44.78 | +$22.39 | |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 90.7¢ | $37.17 | $41 | +$3.83 | 55% 42983-35443 (78426) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 18.3¢ | $16.41 | — | -$16.41 | 49% 76564-79653 (156217) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 47.9¢ | $22.42 | — | -$22.42 | 66% 97589-50155 (147744) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 85.4¢ | $17.35 | $20.33 | +$2.98 | 55% 16647-13358 (30005) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4.8¢ | $7.36 | — | -$7.36 | 46% 37365-43576 (80941) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $6.8 | $10.15 | +$3.35 | 51% 19428-18654 (38082) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $4.6 | $5.23 | +$0.63 | 52% 87991-82424 (170415) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 12% 17734-130544 (148278) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 65% 121312-64687 (185999) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $1.54 | $1.81 | +$0.27 | 65% 20166-10990 (31156) |
BoneOhioInvested
$239.32
Value
$241.74
PnL
+$2.42
Record
74%
100933-36124 (137057)
Invested
$43.86
Value
$44.78
PnL
+$0.92
Record
51%
6180-5859 (12039)
Both legs:
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$37.17
Value
$41
PnL
+$3.83
Record
55%
42983-35443 (78426)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$16.41
Value
—
PnL
-$16.41
Record
49%
76564-79653 (156217)
Invested
$22.42
Value
—
PnL
-$22.42
Record
66%
97589-50155 (147744)
Invested
$17.35
Value
$20.33
PnL
+$2.98
Record
55%
16647-13358 (30005)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$7.36
Value
—
PnL
-$7.36
Record
46%
37365-43576 (80941)
Invested
$6.8
Value
$10.15
PnL
+$3.35
Record
51%
19428-18654 (38082)
Invested
$4.6
Value
$5.23
PnL
+$0.63
Record
52%
87991-82424 (170415)
Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
12%
17734-130544 (148278)
Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
65%
121312-64687 (185999)
Invested
$1.54
Value
$1.81
PnL
+$0.27
Record
65%
20166-10990 (31156)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Up — $241.74
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
MayorMamdani
Up — $41
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0
Bonereaper
CTRDown — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $20.33
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
devonpoll
Up — $10.15
dvasdkasodk
Up — $5.23
Hsilverbasher
CTRDown — $0