Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 61%
3 arb excluded
$2.6K
$260.9
Smart Money Signal
11 of 19 top traders (58%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OX oxe78sh4w98 | Downavg 66.4¢ | $448.18 | $675.27 | +$227.09 | 52% 267-242 (509) |
RO royalanchor02 | Downavg 64.7¢ | $456.4 | $705.19 | +$248.79 | 54% 38-32 (70) |
BI bisonarcticCTR | Upavg 16.7¢ | $138.15 | — | -$138.15 | 52% 14-13 (27) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 77.6¢ | $348.9 | $348.19 | -$0.72 | 51% 6132-5801 (11933) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 77.6¢ | $270.1 | $348.19 | +$78.08 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 28.1¢ | $78.8 | — | -$78.8 | |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 97.2¢ | $308.12 | $316.85 | +$8.73 | 93% 21764-1691 (23455) |
 AtomforgeARB<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $135.64 | $152.68 | +$17.04 | 65% 3701-1998 (5699) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 66¢ | $100.73 | $152.68 | +$51.95 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 17.5¢ | $34.91 | — | -$34.91 | |
 OhioRiskManagementARB<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $85.83 | $73.24 | -$12.59 | 49% 76371-79329 (155700) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 80¢ | $58.59 | $73.24 | +$14.65 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 30¢ | $27.24 | — | -$27.24 | |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $83.89 | $89.99 | +$6.11 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 31¢ | $31 | — | -$31 | 59% 36902-26123 (63025) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 33.2¢ | $30.57 | — | -$30.57 | 46% 37328-43529 (80857) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $34.52 | $39.44 | +$4.92 | 58% 59354-43324 (102678) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a<$100 | Downavg 66.8¢ | $29.81 | $37.58 | +$7.77 | 53% 1932-1746 (3678) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $19.76 | — | -$19.76 | 49% 21579-22285 (43864) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $34.7 | $50.29 | +$15.59 | 74% 100260-35744 (136004) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 83.6¢ | $65.02 | $37.24 | -$0.38 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 45.1¢ | $23.91 | — | -$23.91 | 58% 11888-8697 (20585) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 35.6¢ | $12.16 | — | -$11.06 | 65% 119380-63148 (182528) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.6¢ | $13.15 | — | -$13.15 | 55% 16550-13280 (29830) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $7.99 | $16 | +$8.01 | 66% 97209-49787 (146996) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $5 | $6.41 | +$1.41 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $4.55 | $5 | +$0.45 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19388-18619 (38007) |
Invested
$448.18
Value
$675.27
PnL
+$227.09
Record
52%
267-242 (509)
Invested
$456.4
Value
$705.19
PnL
+$248.79
Record
54%
38-32 (70)
Invested
$138.15
Value
—
PnL
-$138.15
Record
52%
14-13 (27)
Invested
$348.9
Value
$348.19
PnL
-$0.72
Record
51%
6132-5801 (11933)
Both legs:
Invested
$308.12
Value
$316.85
PnL
+$8.73
Record
93%
21764-1691 (23455)
AtomforgeARB<$100Invested
$135.64
Value
$152.68
PnL
+$17.04
Record
65%
3701-1998 (5699)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagementARB<$100Invested
$85.83
Value
$73.24
PnL
-$12.59
Record
49%
76371-79329 (155700)
Both legs:
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$83.89
Value
$89.99
PnL
+$6.11
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
Invested
$31
Value
—
PnL
-$31
Record
59%
36902-26123 (63025)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$30.57
Value
—
PnL
-$30.57
Record
46%
37328-43529 (80857)
Invested
$34.52
Value
$39.44
PnL
+$4.92
Record
58%
59354-43324 (102678)
Invested
$29.81
Value
$37.58
PnL
+$7.77
Record
53%
1932-1746 (3678)
Invested
$19.76
Value
—
PnL
-$19.76
Record
49%
21579-22285 (43864)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$34.7
Value
$50.29
PnL
+$15.59
Record
74%
100260-35744 (136004)
Invested
$65.02
Value
$37.24
PnL
-$0.38
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
Invested
$23.91
Value
—
PnL
-$23.91
Record
58%
11888-8697 (20585)
Invested
$12.16
Value
—
PnL
-$11.06
Record
65%
119380-63148 (182528)
Invested
$13.15
Value
—
PnL
-$13.15
Record
55%
16550-13280 (29830)
Invested
$7.99
Value
$16
PnL
+$8.01
Record
66%
97209-49787 (146996)
Invested
$5
Value
$6.41
PnL
+$1.41
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
Invested
$4.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.45
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19388-18619 (38007)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
oxe78sh4w98
Down — $675.27
royalanchor02
Down — $705.19
bisonarctic
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Down — $316.85
Atomforge
ARBArbitrage — excluded
OhioRiskManagement
ARBArbitrage — excluded
MayorMamdani
Down — $89.99
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
pspspsps5
CTRUp — $0