Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Down 50%
$278.84
-$37.57
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 69Β’ | $158.13 | $144.09 | -$14.04 | 51% 6132-5801 (11933) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 87Β’ | $90.93 | $88 | -$2.93 | 49% 76371-79329 (155700) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.6Β’ | $13.89 | β | -$13.89 | 84% 54680-10153 (64833) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 39.4Β’ | $18.54 | β | -$18.54 | 59% 36902-26123 (63025) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 83.9Β’ | $17.05 | $20.33 | +$3.28 | 55% 16550-13280 (29830) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 74.3Β’ | $13.79 | $16.42 | +$2.63 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 45Β’ | $4.5 | $10 | +$5.5 | 54% 9847-8359 (18206) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 16Β’ | $1.8 | β | -$1.8 | 51% 19388-18619 (38007) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.9Β’ | $4.12 | β | -$4.12 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 8Β’ | $0.47 | β | -$0.47 | 58% 11888-8697 (20585) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 65Β’ | $13 | β | +$6.8 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
Invested
$158.13
Value
$144.09
PnL
-$14.04
Record
51%
6132-5801 (11933)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$90.93
Value
$88
PnL
-$2.93
Record
49%
76371-79329 (155700)
Invested
$13.89
Value
β
PnL
-$13.89
Record
84%
54680-10153 (64833)
Invested
$18.54
Value
β
PnL
-$18.54
Record
59%
36902-26123 (63025)
Invested
$17.05
Value
$20.33
PnL
+$3.28
Record
55%
16550-13280 (29830)
Invested
$13.79
Value
$16.42
PnL
+$2.63
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
Invested
$4.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.5
Record
54%
9847-8359 (18206)
Invested
$1.8
Value
β
PnL
-$1.8
Record
51%
19388-18619 (38007)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.12
Value
β
PnL
-$4.12
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
Invested
$0.47
Value
β
PnL
-$0.47
Record
58%
11888-8697 (20585)
Invested
$13
Value
β
PnL
+$6.8
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $144.09

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $88
0x50f7
CTRUp β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $20.33
dvasdkasodk
Down β $16.42
thesidehustle
Down β $10
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp β $0