Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 58%
$445.53
-$57.83
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 83.6¢ | $203.62 | $197.53 | -$6.09 | 51% 6132-5801 (11933) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $158.76 | $162 | +$3.24 | 93% 21764-1691 (23455) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 53.9¢ | $41.95 | — | -$41.95 | 55% 16550-13280 (29830) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $21.95 | $20 | -$1.95 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $23.99 | $19.99 | -$4 | 54% 9847-8359 (18206) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 92.3¢ | $17.41 | $17 | -$0.41 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 66.3¢ | $11.25 | $15 | +$3.75 | 49% 76371-79329 (155700) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $3.09 | — | -$3.09 | 84% 54680-10153 (64833) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.1¢ | $5.19 | — | -$5.19 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $8.82 | $14 | +$5.18 | 12% 17680-128923 (146603) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 10.2¢ | $4.73 | — | -$4.73 | 63% 49651-29409 (79060) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $2.6 | — | -$2.6 | 74% 100260-35744 (136004) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19388-18619 (38007) |
Invested
$203.62
Value
$197.53
PnL
-$6.09
Record
51%
6132-5801 (11933)
Invested
$158.76
Value
$162
PnL
+$3.24
Record
93%
21764-1691 (23455)
Invested
$41.95
Value
—
PnL
-$41.95
Record
55%
16550-13280 (29830)
Invested
$21.95
Value
$20
PnL
-$1.95
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
Invested
$23.99
Value
$19.99
PnL
-$4
Record
54%
9847-8359 (18206)
Invested
$17.41
Value
$17
PnL
-$0.41
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$11.25
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.75
Record
49%
76371-79329 (155700)
Invested
$3.09
Value
—
PnL
-$3.09
Record
84%
54680-10153 (64833)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.19
Value
—
PnL
-$5.19
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
Invested
$8.82
Value
$14
PnL
+$5.18
Record
12%
17680-128923 (146603)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.73
Value
—
PnL
-$4.73
Record
63%
49651-29409 (79060)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$2.6
Value
—
PnL
-$2.6
Record
74%
100260-35744 (136004)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19388-18619 (38007)
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