Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 75%
$338.16
$2.12
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 66.7Β’ | $157.53 | $150.44 | -$7.09 | 51% 6132-5801 (11933) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 59.6Β’ | $48.36 | $50.97 | +$2.6 | 54% 9847-8359 (18206) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 68.5Β’ | $45.45 | $60 | +$18.19 | 65% 20047-10914 (30961) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 85.5Β’ | $37.72 | $36.3 | -$1.42 | 55% 42897-35362 (78259) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 88Β’ | $30.31 | $34.45 | +$4.14 | 63% 49651-29409 (79060) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 62.5Β’ | $13 | β | -$13 | 55% 16550-13280 (29830) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.4Β’ | $4.97 | β | -$4.97 | 66% 109300-55693 (164993) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 39Β’ | $2.34 | $6 | +$3.66 | 52% 87624-81970 (169594) |
Invested
$157.53
Value
$150.44
PnL
-$7.09
Record
51%
6132-5801 (11933)
Invested
$48.36
Value
$50.97
PnL
+$2.6
Record
54%
9847-8359 (18206)
Invested
$45.45
Value
$60
PnL
+$18.19
Record
65%
20047-10914 (30961)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$37.72
Value
$36.3
PnL
-$1.42
Record
55%
42897-35362 (78259)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$30.31
Value
$34.45
PnL
+$4.14
Record
63%
49651-29409 (79060)
Invested
$13
Value
β
PnL
-$13
Record
55%
16550-13280 (29830)
Invested
$4.97
Value
β
PnL
-$4.97
Record
66%
109300-55693 (164993)
Invested
$2.34
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.66
Record
52%
87624-81970 (169594)
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