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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 54%

Total Value

$355.53

Combined PnL

-$601.64

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 13 top traders (54%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares714

Combined PnL-$644.6

Up6 traders

Total Value$355.53

Total Shares356

Combined PnL+$42.97

Down — 54%Up — 46%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2CTR	Downavg 51.2¢	$496.36	—	-$496.36	51% 6132-5801 (11933)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$171.27	$173	+$1.73	93% 21764-1691 (23455)
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100	Downavg 54.3¢	$50.72	—	-$50.72	54% 9847-8359 (18206)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 66.6¢	$58.03	—	-$58.03	55% 42897-35362 (78259)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 76¢	$39.9	$31.97	-$7.93	63% 49651-29409 (79060)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 60.5¢	$54.6	$81.84	+$27.24	55% 16550-13280 (29830)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 48.4¢	$13.56	—	-$13.56	59% 36902-26123 (63025)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 43.2¢	$11.31	—	-$11.31	52% 87624-81970 (169594)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 75.2¢	$43.99	$57.79	+$14.3	65% 20047-10914 (30961)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 27¢	$9.01	—	-$9.01	66% 109300-55693 (164993)
BO BonereaperCTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$5.61	—	-$5.61	66% 97209-49787 (146996)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 28¢	$1.68	$6	+$4.32	58% 11888-8697 (20585)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 33¢	$1.63	$4.93	+$3.3	46% 37328-43529 (80857)

Invested

$496.36

Value

—

PnL

-$496.36

Record

51%

6132-5801 (11933)

Invested

$171.27

Value

$173

PnL

+$1.73

Record

93%

21764-1691 (23455)

thesidehustleCTR<$100

Invested

$50.72

Value

—

PnL

-$50.72

Record

54%

9847-8359 (18206)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$58.03

Value

—

PnL

-$58.03

Record

55%

42897-35362 (78259)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$39.9

Value

$31.97

PnL

-$7.93

Record

63%

49651-29409 (79060)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$54.6

Value

$81.84

PnL

+$27.24

Record

55%

16550-13280 (29830)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$13.56

Value

—

PnL

-$13.56

Record

59%

36902-26123 (63025)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$11.31

Value

—

PnL

-$11.31

Record

52%

87624-81970 (169594)

Invested

$43.99

Value

$57.79

PnL

+$14.3

Record

65%

20047-10914 (30961)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$9.01

Value

—

PnL

-$9.01

Record

66%

109300-55693 (164993)

BonereaperCTR<$100

Invested

$5.61

Value

—

PnL

-$5.61

Record

66%

97209-49787 (146996)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$1.68

Value

$6

PnL

+$4.32

Record

58%

11888-8697 (20585)

Invested

$1.63

Value

$4.93

PnL

+$3.3

Record

46%

37328-43529 (80857)

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 13 top traders (54%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xefb08971...3a44c9

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793043600

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Down — $0

hoodquant

Up — $173

thesidehustle

Down — $0

MayorMamdani

Down — $0

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $31.97

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $81.84

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $57.79

antsaslyku

Down — $0

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