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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Up 46%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$557.74

Combined PnL

-$240.78

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 13 top traders (46%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$487.99

Total Shares488

Combined PnL+$25.91

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares753

Combined PnL-$266.69

Up — 46%Down — 54%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Upavg 91.2¢	$273.49	$300	+$26.51	49% 21579-22285 (43864)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 18.4¢	$46.61	—	-$46.61	59% 36902-26123 (63025)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 84¢	$8.56	$6.96	-$1.6	46% 37328-43529 (80857)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$152.92	$154.46	+$1.54	93% 21764-1691 (23455)
0X 0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192CTR<$100	Downavg 60.5¢	$85.87	—	-$85.87	65% 98-52 (150)
OhioRiskManagementARB<$100	Upavg 89.5¢	$64.58	$69.75	+$5.17	49% 76371-79329 (155700)
└ Up leg	Upavg 89.5¢	$62.46	$69.75	+$7.29
└ Down leg	Downavg 3¢	$2.12	—	-$2.12
OX oxe78sh4w98CTR<$100	Downavg 63.6¢	$82.77	—	-$82.77	52% 267-242 (509)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 17.1¢	$16.85	—	-$16.85	51% 6132-5801 (11933)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 26.2¢	$21.93	—	-$21.93	65% 20047-10914 (30961)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 3.9¢	$2.27	—	-$2.27	55% 42897-35362 (78259)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 93¢	$11.8	$10	-$1.8	65% 119380-63148 (182528)
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100	Downavg 32.5¢	$10.4	—	-$10.4	54% 9847-8359 (18206)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 93¢	$9.5	$10.22	+$0.72	51% 19388-18619 (38007)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 91.5¢	$5.82	$6.36	+$0.54	52% 87624-81970 (169594)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$273.49

Value

$300

PnL

+$26.51

Record

49%

21579-22285 (43864)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$46.61

Value

—

PnL

-$46.61

Record

59%

36902-26123 (63025)

Invested

$8.56

Value

$6.96

PnL

-$1.6

Record

46%

37328-43529 (80857)

Invested

$152.92

Value

$154.46

PnL

+$1.54

Record

93%

21764-1691 (23455)

0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192CTR<$100

Invested

$85.87

Value

—

PnL

-$85.87

Record

65%

98-52 (150)

OhioRiskManagementARB<$100

Invested

$64.58

Value

$69.75

PnL

+$5.17

Record

49%

76371-79329 (155700)

Both legs:

Up$62.4689.5¢+$7.29

Down$2.123¢-$2.12

oxe78sh4w98CTR<$100

Invested

$82.77

Value

—

PnL

-$82.77

Record

52%

267-242 (509)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$16.85

Value

—

PnL

-$16.85

Record

51%

6132-5801 (11933)

Invested

$21.93

Value

—

PnL

-$21.93

Record

65%

20047-10914 (30961)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$2.27

Value

—

PnL

-$2.27

Record

55%

42897-35362 (78259)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$11.8

Value

$10

PnL

-$1.8

Record

65%

119380-63148 (182528)

thesidehustleCTR<$100

Invested

$10.4

Value

—

PnL

-$10.4

Record

54%

9847-8359 (18206)

Invested

$9.5

Value

$10.22

PnL

+$0.72

Record

51%

19388-18619 (38007)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$5.82

Value

$6.36

PnL

+$0.54

Record

52%

87624-81970 (169594)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 13 top traders (46%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x38ffd6de...1ef9c6

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793043300

Traders in this Market

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $300

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

pspspsps5

Up — $6.96

hoodquant

Up — $154.46

0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Arbitrage — excluded

oxe78sh4w98

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $0

aaa221

Down — $0

MayorMamdani

Down — $0

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