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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 56%

Total Value

$57.73

Combined PnL

-$42.47

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares247

Combined PnL-$58.44

Down4 traders

Total Value$57.73

Total Shares58

Combined PnL+$15.97

Up — 60%Down — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 32.7¢	$31.93	—	-$31.93	51% 6112-5777 (11889)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 57.5¢	$18.25	$31.73	+$13.48	55% 16513-13257 (29770)
TH thesidehustle<$100	Downavg 64¢	$12.28	$10	-$2.28	54% 9847-8359 (18206)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 68¢	$8.74	$11	+$2.26	52% 87251-81446 (168697)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 52¢	$10.4	—	-$10.4	65% 19990-10879 (30869)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 14.2¢	$10.81	—	-$10.81	49% 74849-77671 (152520)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 6.3¢	$3.7	—	-$3.7	59% 16265-11214 (27479)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 50¢	$2.5	$5	+$2.5	58% 11877-8681 (20558)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 8¢	$1.6	—	-$1.6	66% 118135-62194 (180329)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 19245-18476 (37721)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$31.93

Value

—

PnL

-$31.93

Record

51%

6112-5777 (11889)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$18.25

Value

$31.73

PnL

+$13.48

Record

55%

16513-13257 (29770)

thesidehustle<$100

Invested

$12.28

Value

$10

PnL

-$2.28

Record

54%

9847-8359 (18206)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$8.74

Value

$11

PnL

+$2.26

Record

52%

87251-81446 (168697)

Invested

$10.4

Value

—

PnL

-$10.4

Record

65%

19990-10879 (30869)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$10.81

Value

—

PnL

-$10.81

Record

49%

74849-77671 (152520)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$3.7

Value

—

PnL

-$3.7

Record

59%

16265-11214 (27479)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$2.5

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.5

Record

58%

11877-8681 (20558)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$1.6

Value

—

PnL

-$1.6

Record

66%

118135-62194 (180329)

devonpollCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19245-18476 (37721)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa66d35b7...6a6217

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793041500

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Up — $0

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $31.73

thesidehustle

Down — $10

dvasdkasodk

Down — $11

aaa221

Up — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $0

pspspsps5

Up — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $5

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $0

devonpoll

Up — $0

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