Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Up 77%
1 arb excluded
$894.43
$186.49
Smart Money Signal
10 of 13 top traders (77%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 36.5¢ | $250.35 | $227.78 | -$22.57 | 51% 6112-5777 (11889) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 45.1¢ | $102.84 | $227.78 | +$124.94 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 36.5¢ | $147.51 | — | -$147.51 | |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 38.6¢ | $115.92 | $300 | +$184.08 | 49% 21480-22194 (43674) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $40.9 | $75.72 | +$34.82 | 55% 16513-13257 (29770) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 56.8¢ | $42.27 | $74.44 | +$32.17 | 58% 58725-42827 (101552) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Downavg 46.8¢ | $61.47 | — | -$61.47 | 54% 9847-8359 (18206) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 72.8¢ | $38.82 | $38.27 | -$0.55 | 52% 87251-81446 (168697) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 76.1¢ | $70.04 | $40.07 | -$12.35 | 65% 19990-10879 (30869) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 60.4¢ | $38.44 | — | -$38.44 | 58% 11877-8681 (20558) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 92.8¢ | $35.25 | $30 | -$5.25 | 66% 118135-62194 (180329) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 28.7¢ | $12.6 | $43.97 | +$31.37 | 49% 74849-77671 (152520) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $19.18 | $41.7 | +$22.52 | 59% 36785-26074 (62859) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 87.1¢ | $14.94 | $14.55 | -$0.39 | 55% 41545-33964 (75509) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $4.97 | $7.93 | +$2.96 | 66% 108603-55064 (163667) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.6¢ | $2.99 | — | -$2.99 | 63% 47924-28546 (76470) |
Invested
$250.35
Value
$227.78
PnL
-$22.57
Record
51%
6112-5777 (11889)
Both legs:
Invested
$115.92
Value
$300
PnL
+$184.08
Record
49%
21480-22194 (43674)
Invested
$40.9
Value
$75.72
PnL
+$34.82
Record
55%
16513-13257 (29770)
Invested
$42.27
Value
$74.44
PnL
+$32.17
Record
58%
58725-42827 (101552)
Invested
$61.47
Value
—
PnL
-$61.47
Record
54%
9847-8359 (18206)
Invested
$38.82
Value
$38.27
PnL
-$0.55
Record
52%
87251-81446 (168697)
Invested
$70.04
Value
$40.07
PnL
-$12.35
Record
65%
19990-10879 (30869)
Invested
$38.44
Value
—
PnL
-$38.44
Record
58%
11877-8681 (20558)
Invested
$35.25
Value
$30
PnL
-$5.25
Record
66%
118135-62194 (180329)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$12.6
Value
$43.97
PnL
+$31.37
Record
49%
74849-77671 (152520)
Invested
$19.18
Value
$41.7
PnL
+$22.52
Record
59%
36785-26074 (62859)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$14.94
Value
$14.55
PnL
-$0.39
Record
55%
41545-33964 (75509)
Invested
$4.97
Value
$7.93
PnL
+$2.96
Record
66%
108603-55064 (163667)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.99
Value
—
PnL
-$2.99
Record
63%
47924-28546 (76470)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up — $300
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $75.72
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $74.44
thesidehustle
CTRDown — $0
dvasdkasodk
Up — $38.27
aaa221
Up — $40.07
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $30
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $43.97