Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 54%
$442.07
$28.23
Smart Money Signal
7 of 14 top traders (50%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 56.8¢ | $86.66 | $143.7 | +$57.04 | 51% 6112-5777 (11889) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $144.54 | $146 | +$1.46 | 93% 21707-1689 (23396) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 58.1¢ | $43.79 | $75.36 | +$31.57 | 55% 41545-33964 (75509) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 62.9¢ | $24.62 | $39.12 | +$14.5 | 63% 47924-28546 (76470) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 56.5¢ | $22.58 | — | -$22.58 | 54% 9847-8359 (18206) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 57.5¢ | $31.8 | — | -$31.8 | 65% 19990-10879 (30869) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 51.4¢ | $7.88 | $15.33 | +$7.45 | 59% 36785-26074 (62859) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 43.7¢ | $6.74 | $15.44 | +$8.7 | 66% 108603-55064 (163667) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 55.7¢ | $16.12 | — | -$16.08 | 66% 118135-62194 (180329) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $5.32 | — | -$5.32 | 76% 70725-22108 (92833) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 76.6¢ | $11.6 | — | -$11.6 | 55% 16513-13257 (29770) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $8.32 | — | -$8.32 | 49% 74849-77671 (152520) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $3.92 | $7.13 | +$3.21 | 52% 87251-81446 (168697) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19245-18476 (37721) |
Invested
$86.66
Value
$143.7
PnL
+$57.04
Record
51%
6112-5777 (11889)
Invested
$144.54
Value
$146
PnL
+$1.46
Record
93%
21707-1689 (23396)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$43.79
Value
$75.36
PnL
+$31.57
Record
55%
41545-33964 (75509)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$24.62
Value
$39.12
PnL
+$14.5
Record
63%
47924-28546 (76470)
Invested
$22.58
Value
—
PnL
-$22.58
Record
54%
9847-8359 (18206)
Invested
$31.8
Value
—
PnL
-$31.8
Record
65%
19990-10879 (30869)
Invested
$7.88
Value
$15.33
PnL
+$7.45
Record
59%
36785-26074 (62859)
Invested
$6.74
Value
$15.44
PnL
+$8.7
Record
66%
108603-55064 (163667)
Invested
$16.12
Value
—
PnL
-$16.08
Record
66%
118135-62194 (180329)
Invested
$5.32
Value
—
PnL
-$5.32
Record
76%
70725-22108 (92833)
Invested
$11.6
Value
—
PnL
-$11.6
Record
55%
16513-13257 (29770)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$8.32
Value
—
PnL
-$8.32
Record
49%
74849-77671 (152520)
Invested
$3.92
Value
$7.13
PnL
+$3.21
Record
52%
87251-81446 (168697)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19245-18476 (37721)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $143.7
hoodquant
Down — $146
MayorMamdani
Down — $75.36
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $39.12
thesidehustle
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $15.33
antsaslyku
Down — $15.44
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRUp — $0
Bonereaper
CTRUp — $0