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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Resolved Up. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 89%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$314.12

Combined PnL

-$144.8

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$205.94
Total Shares206
Combined PnL-$71.07
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares181
Combined PnL-$73.72
Up — 89%Down — 11%
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up

Invested

$195.37

Value

$109.45

PnL

-$85.92

Record

59%

36738-26033 (62771)

PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$94.22

Value

$108.18

PnL

+$13.96

Record

51%

6071-5737 (11808)

Both legs:

Up$68.2763.1¢+$39.91
Down$25.9539.4¢-$25.95
PB
PBot-6CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$73.72

Value

—

PnL

-$73.72

Record

58%

49342-35483 (84825)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$21.56

Value

$16

PnL

-$5.56

Record

66%

118087-62156 (180243)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Up

Invested

$15.6

Value

$20.58

PnL

+$4.98

Record

56%

16477-13211 (29688)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$14.22

Value

$18

PnL

+$3.78

Record

49%

74757-77547 (152304)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$13.6

Value

$20

PnL

+$6.4

Record

65%

19899-10832 (30731)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$7.97

Value

$12.86

PnL

+$4.89

Record

58%

58683-42785 (101468)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

$4.75

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.25

Record

51%

19212-18458 (37670)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$3.93

Value

$4.05

PnL

+$0.12

Record

93%

21625-1687 (23312)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x87273f31...ef8e01
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793031600

Traders in this Market

0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $109.45

-$85.92
PL

ply-pm2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$13.96
PB

PBot-6

CTR

Down — $0

-$73.72
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $16

-$5.56
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $20.58

+$4.98

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $18

+$3.78
AA

aaa221

Up — $20

+$6.4
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $12.86

+$4.89
DE

devonpoll

Up — $5

+$0.25
HO

hoodquant

Up — $4.05

+$0.12
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